World

Will any international summit held in 2026 produce a major, publicly documented breakthrough—defined as a binding multilateral agreement, unprecedented coordinated policy action, or verifiable technological/scientific advancement with global implications—on a topic within Climate & Science, Geopolitics, or Economy?

This market resolves YES if at least one internationally recognized summit held in 2026 yields a major, publicly documented breakthrough in Climate & Science, Geopolitics, or Economy—as defined by binding agreements, unprecedented coordinated policy, or verifiable global-scale advancements.

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24h Volume

KSh20K

Liquidity

KSh1.0K

Open Interest

KSh2.5K

Time left

Jan 1, 2027

  • 1.Resolves YES if at least one qualifying breakthrough meeting all criteria occurs and is publicly documented by December 31, 2026. Resolves NO if no such breakthrough occurs or is credibly documented by that date. 'Publicly documented' requires official summit communiqués, treaty deposit records, peer-reviewed publications, or reporting from ≥2 independent Tier-1 news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AFP, BBC, AP, Bloomberg, FT, NYTimes). Pre-summit leaks, draft texts, unilateral pledges, non-binding declarations, or outcomes lacking verification or global implications do not qualify.

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FAQ

Yes—if the agreement is formally adopted and signed by ≥3 sovereign states and ≥1 intergovernmental organization during the summit, and the text is publicly released in final form, ratification status is not required for resolution.