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Browse active prediction markets across sports, politics, and news.

W

Elections

Will an incumbent party win a major national election in 2026?

51%

chance

Yes
49%
No
51%
KSh 94.0K Vol.Oct 25
W

Tech

Will a major antitrust ruling hit Big Tech in 2026?

53%

chance

Yes
53%
No
47%
KSh 112.0K Vol.Sep 20
W

Crypto

Will SOL trade above $250 before the end of 2026?

54%

chance

Yes
46%
No
54%
KSh 128.0K Vol.Oct 15
W

Finance

Will a 2026 IPO raise more than $1B?

52%

chance

Yes
48%
No
52%
KSh 87.0K Vol.Sep 25
W

Climate & Science

Will a major lunar mission succeed in 2026?

51%

chance

Yes
51%
No
49%
KSh 67.0K Vol.Sep 5
W

Geopolitics

Will a major country see a leadership change in 2026?

54%

chance

Yes
46%
No
54%
KSh 98.0K Vol.Oct 15
W

Sports

Will an underdog win a major final in 2026?

52%

chance

Yes
52%
No
48%
KSh 68.0K Vol.Oct 5
W

Elections

Will an opposition party gain net seats in a major 2026 election?

54%

chance

Yes
54%
No
46%
KSh 91.0K Vol.Sep 25
W

Crypto

Will a new major spot crypto ETF be approved in 2026?

57%

chance

Yes
57%
No
43%
KSh 143.0K Vol.Sep 5
W

World

Will a new visa-free travel agreement be announced in 2026?

51%

chance

Yes
49%
No
51%
KSh 52.0K Vol.Sep 10
W

Geopolitics

Will new sanctions be imposed on a major power in 2026?

55%

chance

Yes
55%
No
45%
KSh 82.0K Vol.Aug 16
W

Geopolitics

Will a ceasefire be announced in a major conflict during 2026?

57%

chance

Yes
43%
No
57%
KSh 103.0K Vol.Sep 15
W

Pop Culture

Will there be a major award-show upset in 2026?

53%

chance

Yes
47%
No
53%
KSh 53.0K Vol.Aug 6
W

Climate & Science

Will a new global heat record be reported in 2026?

57%

chance

Yes
57%
No
43%
KSh 89.0K Vol.Oct 25
W

Economy

Will year-over-year inflation print below 3% in 2026?

59%

chance

Yes
59%
No
41%
KSh 118.0K Vol.Aug 26
W

Politics

Will there be a cabinet-level reshuffle before the end of 2026?

56%

chance

Yes
44%
No
56%
KSh 72.0K Vol.Oct 15
W

Finance

Will the S&P 500 hit a new high before the end of 2026?

61%

chance

Yes
61%
No
39%
KSh 154.0K Vol.Oct 25
W

Politics

Will a major bipartisan bill be signed into law in 2026?

58%

chance

Yes
58%
No
42%
KSh 86.0K Vol.Sep 15
W

Crypto

Will Bitcoin make a new all-time high before the end of 2026?

63%

chance

Yes
63%
No
37%
KSh 185.0K Vol.Oct 25
W

Elections

Will a major 2026 election require a runoff?

59%

chance

Yes
41%
No
59%
KSh 92.0K Vol.Aug 26
W

Mentions

Will a film title be the top weekend trend in 2026?

56%

chance

Yes
56%
No
44%
KSh 36.0K Vol.Jul 27
W

Politics

Will a national government shutdown occur before the end of Q3 2026?

63%

chance

Yes
37%
No
63%
KSh 98.0K Vol.Jul 17
W

Mentions

Will a world leader cross 100k mentions in a single day during 2026?

58%

chance

Yes
42%
No
58%
KSh 45.0K Vol.Sep 15
W

Sports

Will a major single-season record be broken in 2026?

61%

chance

Yes
39%
No
61%
KSh 71.0K Vol.Nov 14
W

Economy

Will the Fed cut rates before the end of 2026?

66%

chance

Yes
66%
No
34%
KSh 132.0K Vol.Sep 10
W

Finance

Will crude oil trade above $95 in 2026?

64%

chance

Yes
36%
No
64%
KSh 91.0K Vol.Sep 5
W

Pop Culture

Will a 2026 film open above $100M domestically?

62%

chance

Yes
62%
No
38%
KSh 61.0K Vol.Sep 15
W

Politics

Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps in April?

65%

chance

Yes
35%
No
65%
KSh 89.0K Vol.
W

World

Will a major region set a tourism record in 2026?

61%

chance

Yes
61%
No
39%
KSh 47.0K Vol.Oct 5
W

Tech

Will a consumer AI device become a breakout hit in 2026?

66%

chance

Yes
34%
No
66%
KSh 79.0K Vol.Oct 15
W

Tech

Will a frontier AI model be released before Q4 2026?

71%

chance

Yes
71%
No
29%
KSh 141.0K Vol.Aug 6
W

Mentions

Will an AI startup become the top trending topic during 2026?

62%

chance

Yes
38%
No
62%
KSh 39.0K Vol.Aug 16
W

World

Will an international summit produce a major breakthrough in 2026?

65%

chance

Yes
35%
No
65%
KSh 58.0K Vol.Aug 26
W

Sports

Will a defending champion repeat in a major league during 2026?

67%

chance

Yes
33%
No
67%
KSh 76.0K Vol.Aug 16
W

Economy

Will unemployment rise above 5% in 2026?

69%

chance

Yes
31%
No
69%
KSh 96.0K Vol.Oct 5
W

Climate & Science

Will a Category 5 storm make landfall in 2026?

82%

chance

Yes
18%
No
82%
KSh 72.0K Vol.Oct 5
W

Pop Culture

Will a surprise album debut at number one in 2026?

71%

chance

Yes
29%
No
71%
KSh 48.0K Vol.Aug 26
W

Sports

Will the Lakers make the playoffs?

72%

chance

Yes
72%
No
28%
KSh 45.0K Vol.
W

Will you be my valentine

67%

chance

Yes
67%
No
33%
KSh 60 Vol.

How it works

Markets start at 50/50. As users place orders on Yes or No, probabilities move with demand and reflect the market view in real time.