PoliticsWill a major bipartisan bill be signed into law in 2026?49% chance—49%49%—Yes 49%49¢No 51%51¢KSh440K Vol. · KSh22K Liq. · Ends Sep 15, 2026
PoliticsWill the Fed cut rates by 25 bps in April?59% chance—59%59%—Yes 59%59¢No 41%41¢KSh84K Vol. · KSh4.2K Liq.
PoliticsWill there be a cabinet-level reshuffle before the end of 2026?81% chance—81%81%—Yes 81%81¢No 19%19¢KSh184K Vol. · KSh9.2K Liq. · Ends Oct 15, 2026
PoliticsWill a national government shutdown occur before the end of Q3 2026?25% chance—25%25%—Yes 25%25¢No 75%75¢KSh38K Vol. · KSh1.9K Liq. · Ends in 33d 22h