Politics markets

AllUS GovernmentBipartisan BillCabinetFederal ReserveShutdown

Politics

Will a major bipartisan bill be signed into law in 2026?

49% chance—
49%
49%
—
Yes 49%49¢No 51%51¢

KSh440K Vol. · KSh22K Liq. · Ends Sep 15, 2026

Politics

Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps in April?

59% chance—
59%
59%
—
Yes 59%59¢No 41%41¢

KSh84K Vol. · KSh4.2K Liq.

Politics

Will there be a cabinet-level reshuffle before the end of 2026?

81% chance—
81%
81%
—
Yes 81%81¢No 19%19¢

KSh184K Vol. · KSh9.2K Liq. · Ends Oct 15, 2026

Politics

Will a national government shutdown occur before the end of Q3 2026?

25% chance—
25%
25%
—
Yes 25%25¢No 75%75¢

KSh38K Vol. · KSh1.9K Liq. · Ends in 33d 22h

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