Elections markets

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Elections

Who wins Kenya's 2027 presidential election?

Resolved: William Ruto

KSh149K Vol. · KSh7.4K Liq.

Elections

Will an opposition party gain net seats in a major 2026 election?

50% chance—
50%
50%
—
Yes 50%50¢No 50%50¢

KSh44K Vol. · KSh2.2K Liq. · Ends Sep 25, 2026

Elections

Will a major 2026 election require a runoff?

8% chance—
8%
8%
—
Yes 8%8¢No 92%92¢

KSh34K Vol. · KSh1.7K Liq. · Ends Aug 26, 2026

Elections

Will an incumbent party win a major national election in 2026?

22% chance—
22%
22%
—
Yes 22%22¢No 78%78¢

KSh4.2K Vol. · KSh1.0K Liq. · Ends Oct 25, 2026

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