Elections markets
W
Elections
Will an incumbent party win a major national election in 2026?
51%
chance
Yes
49%
No
51%
KSh 94.0K Vol.Oct 25
W
Elections
Will an opposition party gain net seats in a major 2026 election?
54%
chance
Yes
54%
No
46%
KSh 91.0K Vol.Sep 25
W
Elections
Will a major 2026 election require a runoff?
59%
chance
Yes
41%
No
59%
KSh 92.0K Vol.Aug 26
How it works
Markets start at 50/50. As users place orders on Yes or No, probabilities move with demand and reflect the market view in real time.