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Politics markets

W

Politics

Will there be a cabinet-level reshuffle before the end of 2026?

56%

chance

Yes
44%
No
56%
KSh 72.0K Vol.Oct 15
W

Politics

Will a major bipartisan bill be signed into law in 2026?

58%

chance

Yes
58%
No
42%
KSh 86.0K Vol.Sep 15
W

Politics

Will a national government shutdown occur before the end of Q3 2026?

63%

chance

Yes
37%
No
63%
KSh 98.0K Vol.Jul 17
W

Politics

Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps in April?

65%

chance

Yes
35%
No
65%
KSh 89.0K Vol.

How it works

Markets start at 50/50. As users place orders on Yes or No, probabilities move with demand and reflect the market view in real time.