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Geopolitics markets

W

Geopolitics

Will a major country see a leadership change in 2026?

54%

chance

Yes
46%
No
54%
KSh 98.0K Vol.Oct 15
W

Geopolitics

Will new sanctions be imposed on a major power in 2026?

55%

chance

Yes
55%
No
45%
KSh 82.0K Vol.Aug 16
W

Geopolitics

Will a ceasefire be announced in a major conflict during 2026?

57%

chance

Yes
43%
No
57%
KSh 103.0K Vol.Sep 15

How it works

Markets start at 50/50. As users place orders on Yes or No, probabilities move with demand and reflect the market view in real time.