ElectionsWill an opposition party gain net seats in a major 2026 election?35% chance—35%35%—Yes 35%35¢No 65%65¢KSh48K Vol. · KSh2.4K Liq. · Ends Sep 25, 2026
ElectionsWill an incumbent party win a major national election in 2026?22% chance—22%22%—Yes 22%22¢No 78%78¢KSh4.2K Vol. · KSh1.0K Liq. · Ends Oct 25, 2026