P
…
TrendingBreakingNewClimate & ScienceCryptoEconomyElectionsFinanceGeopoliticsMentionsPoliticsPop CultureSportsTechWorld
← All markets·View orders

Will a new global heat record be reported in 2026?

Climate & Science

Alerts

Get notified in-app when this market is nearing close or when any outcome becomes decisive.

Notify me when any outcome reaches at least this probability.

%

Overview

Resolves YES if a recognized global temperature record is reported for a day, month, or year in 2026.

Chance over time

Loading chart…

Probability updates as orders are placed. Initial state 50/50.

KSh 89.0K Vol.ConnectingOct 25, 2026
Yes

Est. profit

Est. cost KSh 5.00 at 50¢

KSh 5.00

Market depth & impact

Best bid

—

Best ask

—

Est. average fill

—

Price impact

—

Total settlement value if this outcome wins: KSh 10.00 before fees.

Other markets

Crypto

Will Bitcoin make a new all-time high before the end of 2026?

Yes 63%KSh 185.0K Vol.
Finance

Will the S&P 500 hit a new high before the end of 2026?

Yes 61%KSh 154.0K Vol.
Crypto

Will a new major spot crypto ETF be approved in 2026?

Yes 57%KSh 143.0K Vol.
Tech

Will a frontier AI model be released before Q4 2026?

Yes 71%KSh 141.0K Vol.
Economy

Will the Fed cut rates before the end of 2026?

Yes 66%KSh 132.0K Vol.
Crypto

Will SOL trade above $250 before the end of 2026?

Yes 46%KSh 128.0K Vol.

Holders & activity

Loading…

Loading comments…