Will there be a major award-show upset in 2026?

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Overview

Resolves YES if a consensus frontrunner loses a top category at a major 2026 awards ceremony.

Chance over time

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Probability updates as orders are placed. Initial state 50/50.

KSh 53.0K Vol.ConnectingAug 6, 2026
Yes

Est. profit

Est. cost KSh 5.00 at 50¢

KSh 5.00

Market depth & impact

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Est. average fill

Price impact

Total settlement value if this outcome wins: KSh 10.00 before fees.

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